Holy Cross
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
842  Emily Hughes SR 21:23
1,187  Caroline Carley SO 21:45
1,446  Sandra van den Heuvel SR 22:01
1,627  Amanda Waldron SR 22:12
1,633  Mary Welsh FR 22:12
1,692  Rachel Sowinski FR 22:16
1,717  Caroline Carr FR 22:17
2,229  Catherine Gildea SO 22:51
2,356  Katherine Holdridge SO 22:59
2,800  Abigail Mitchell JR 23:32
3,065  Kara McCormack FR 23:59
National Rank #198 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #25 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 18.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Hughes Caroline Carley Sandra van den Heuvel Amanda Waldron Mary Welsh Rachel Sowinski Caroline Carr Catherine Gildea Katherine Holdridge Abigail Mitchell Kara McCormack
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Brown) 10/05 1190 21:01 21:45 21:23 22:02 22:26 21:34 22:29 22:15 23:14
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 1227 21:43 21:21 21:46 22:08 21:58 22:55 23:08
Patriot League Championships 11/02 1241 21:25 21:54 22:28 22:23 22:13 22:39 22:07 23:17 22:50 23:59 23:59
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 1241 21:19 21:59 22:25 22:15 22:17 22:24 22:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.7 678 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.0 5.7 7.8 11.3 14.8 17.3 16.6 11.3 6.2 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Hughes 95.4
Caroline Carley 124.2
Sandra van den Heuvel 147.2
Amanda Waldron 162.6
Mary Welsh 162.5
Rachel Sowinski 166.4
Caroline Carr 167.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 1.4% 1.4 17
18 3.0% 3.0 18
19 5.7% 5.7 19
20 7.8% 7.8 20
21 11.3% 11.3 21
22 14.8% 14.8 22
23 17.3% 17.3 23
24 16.6% 16.6 24
25 11.3% 11.3 25
26 6.2% 6.2 26
27 2.8% 2.8 27
28 1.1% 1.1 28
29 0.3% 0.3 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 0.0% 0.0 31
32 0.0% 0.0 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0